Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn expectations. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng
Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn expectations. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng

Chủ Nhật, 7 tháng 4, 2013

White House says Obama had limited expectations for gun violence proposals

  • Gun Show

    File: June 19, 2010: Assorted shotguns are displayed on a table at a gun and knife show in White Plains, N.Y.,AP

A top White Official acknowledged Sunday that President Obama knew some of his gun-control initiatives would likely be rejected but defended his efforts and called on Congress to “do the right thing.”

“The president pushed very hard,” White House adviser Dan Pfeiffer said on “Fox News Sunday.” “We knew all of the (proposals) would not pass right away.”

With a proposed ban on semi-automatic weapons and high-capacity gun magazines off the table for now, Obama appears to be focusing his efforts, including the garnering of public support, on getting Congress to agree to universal background checks for gun buyers.

Pfeiffer said the president has “marshaled people to his side” and polls show a large majority of the public supports background checks.

“You cannot get 90 percent of the people to agree on the weather,” Pfeiffer told Fox. “The question is whether Congress is going to do the right thing.”

A final Senate bill was expected to be released this week, when Congress returns from Spring Break. But the voting could be delayed as senators wrangle over the background check issue. The legislation would come about four months after a mass shooting at a Newtown, Conn., elementary school in which 20 first-graders and six adults were killed.

Pfeiffer said the president agrees with the efforts so far of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and other senators.

“This is the best response to Newtown and gun violence in the country,” Pfeiffer said.


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Chủ Nhật, 17 tháng 3, 2013

White House lowers expectations ahead of Obama's Middle East trip

  • Obama Israel Anaysis_Cala.jpg

    FILE: March, 5, 2012: President Obama meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.AP

  • Obama Israel Analysis_Cala.jpg

    FILE - In this March 5, 2012 file photo, President Barack Obama meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington. Though Obama said he wouldn't be carrying a "grand peace plan" when he goes to Israel, the West Bank and Jordan later this month, three goals will dominate his visit: convincing Israeli leadership that he means what he says about stopping Iran from building a nuclear weapon, mending a troubled relationship with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and enticing Israel back to negotiations with the Palestinians. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais, File)AP2012

As President Obama heads to the Middle East this week, including his first visit to Israel, the White House is downplaying expectations, saying the president hopes only to help leaders come together to bring peace and democracy to the region.

The president arrives Wednesday in Jerusalem, where he will try to improve his relationship with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, on the heels of a newly installed Israeli government.

Netanyahu was re-elected in January but didn’t reach a deal until Friday with rival parties to create a coalition government that adds centrist Yesh Atid and pro-settler Jewish Home parties but excludes the ultra-Orthodox Jewish parties for the first time in a decade.

“President Obama looks forward to working closely with the prime minister and the new government to address the many challenges we face and advance our shared interest in peace and security,” White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Saturday.

Among the country’s biggest issues are ongoing efforts between Israeli and Palestinian leaders to reach a peace agreement and Israel’s effort to stop neighboring Iran for acquiring a nuclear weapon.

The White House's apparent strategy is to lower expectations to create breathing room for frank peace talks between both sides that hopefully will include discussions about what it will take to get back to the negotiating table.

Josh Earnest, the White House deputy press secretary, said Friday the administration is “willing to continue to play a facilitating role.”

However, he said, face-to-face talks will be difficult if the leaders continue with unilateral, or one-sided, action -- including Israel building settlements in east Jerusalem and the West Bank.

Ben Rhodes, Obama's deputy national security adviser, said last week the president feels he has already been clear about the Iran situation: He prefers to resolve the issue peacefully but has established a so-called “red line” -- not allowing Iran to obtain nuclear weapons.

Netanyahu has questioned Obama's commitment to containing Iran's nuclear ambitions, including military action. And he infamously lectured Obama in front of the media during a 2011 meeting at the White House, then later made no secret of his fondness for Republican challenger Mitt Romney in last year's presidential campaign.

The West says Iran's program is aimed at developing weapons technology. Iran says its program is for peaceful energy purposes.

Netanyahu, in a speech to the United Nations in September, said Iran was about six months away from being able to build a bomb. Obama told an Israeli television station this past week that the U.S. thinks it would take "over a year or so for Iran to actually develop a nuclear weapon."

The centerpiece of Obama's visit will be a speech in Jerusalem to an audience mainly of Israeli students. It's part of the president's effort to appeal to the Israeli public, particularly young people.

He will make several cultural stops in the region. They include the Holocaust memorial Yad Vashem; the Church of the Nativity in Bethlehem, a revered site for Christians; and an Iron Dome battery, part of the missile defense system for which the U.S. has helped pay.

Traveling to the West Bank, Obama will meet with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad in Ramallah. Obama and Fayyad will visit a Palestinian youth center, another attempt to reach the region's young people.

Obama will make a 24-hour stop in Jordan, an important U.S. ally, where the president's focus will be on the violence in neighboring Syria. More than 450,000 Syrians have fled to Jordan, crowding refugee camps and overwhelming aid organizations.

For much of Obama's first term, White House officials saw little reason for him to go to the region without a realistic chance for a peace accord between the Israelis and Palestinians. But with the president's one attempt at a U.S.-brokered deal thwarted in his first term and the two sides even more at odds, the White House has shifted thinking.

Beyond Mideast peace, Netanyahu and Obama have similar regional goals, including ending the violence in Syria and containing the political tumult in Egypt, which has a decades-old peace treaty with Israel.

Obama's visit to Israel may quiet critics in the U.S. who interpreted his failure to travel there in his first term as a sign that he was less supportive of the Jewish state than his predecessors. Republican lawmakers levied that criticism frequently during last year's presidential campaign, despite the fact that Republican President George W. Bush did not visit Israel until his final year in office.

In Obama’s talks with Jordan's King Abdullah, he also will try to shore up the country's fledgling attempts to liberalize its government and stave off an Arab Spring-style movement similar to the ones that have taken down leaders elsewhere in the region.

The president's final stop will be at Petra, Jordan's fabled ancient city.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.


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White House lowers expectations ahead of Obama's Middle East trip

  • Obama Israel Anaysis_Cala.jpg

    FILE: March, 5, 2012: President Obama meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C.AP

  • Obama Israel Analysis_Cala.jpg

    FILE - In this March 5, 2012 file photo, President Barack Obama meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington. Though Obama said he wouldn't be carrying a "grand peace plan" when he goes to Israel, the West Bank and Jordan later this month, three goals will dominate his visit: convincing Israeli leadership that he means what he says about stopping Iran from building a nuclear weapon, mending a troubled relationship with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and enticing Israel back to negotiations with the Palestinians. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais, File)AP2012

As President Obama heads to the Middle East this week, including his first visit to Israel, the White House is downplaying expectations, saying the president hopes only to help leaders come together to bring peace and democracy to the region.

The president arrives Wednesday in Jerusalem, where he will try to improve his relationship with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, on the heels of a newly installed Israeli government.

Netanyahu was re-elected in January but didn’t reach a deal until Friday with rival parties to create a coalition government that adds centrist Yesh Atid and pro-settler Jewish Home parties but excludes the ultra-Orthodox Jewish parties for the first time in a decade.

“President Obama looks forward to working closely with the prime minister and the new government to address the many challenges we face and advance our shared interest in peace and security,” White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Saturday.

Among the country’s biggest issues are ongoing efforts between Israeli and Palestinian leaders to reach a peace agreement and Israel’s effort to stop neighboring Iran for acquiring a nuclear weapon.

The White House's apparent strategy is to lower expectations to create breathing room for frank peace talks between both sides that hopefully will include discussions about what it will take to get back to the negotiating table.

Josh Earnest, the White House deputy press secretary, said Friday the administration is “willing to continue to play a facilitating role.”

However, he said, face-to-face talks will be difficult if the leaders continue with unilateral, or one-sided, action -- including Israel building settlements in east Jerusalem and the West Bank.

Ben Rhodes, Obama's deputy national security adviser, said last week the president feels he has already been clear about the Iran situation: He prefers to resolve the issue peacefully but has established a so-called “red line” -- not allowing Iran to obtain nuclear weapons.

Netanyahu has questioned Obama's commitment to containing Iran's nuclear ambitions, including military action. And he infamously lectured Obama in front of the media during a 2011 meeting at the White House, then later made no secret of his fondness for Republican challenger Mitt Romney in last year's presidential campaign.

The West says Iran's program is aimed at developing weapons technology. Iran says its program is for peaceful energy purposes.

Netanyahu, in a speech to the United Nations in September, said Iran was about six months away from being able to build a bomb. Obama told an Israeli television station this past week that the U.S. thinks it would take "over a year or so for Iran to actually develop a nuclear weapon."

The centerpiece of Obama's visit will be a speech in Jerusalem to an audience mainly of Israeli students. It's part of the president's effort to appeal to the Israeli public, particularly young people.

He will make several cultural stops in the region. They include the Holocaust memorial Yad Vashem; the Church of the Nativity in Bethlehem, a revered site for Christians; and an Iron Dome battery, part of the missile defense system for which the U.S. has helped pay.

Traveling to the West Bank, Obama will meet with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad in Ramallah. Obama and Fayyad will visit a Palestinian youth center, another attempt to reach the region's young people.

Obama will make a 24-hour stop in Jordan, an important U.S. ally, where the president's focus will be on the violence in neighboring Syria. More than 450,000 Syrians have fled to Jordan, crowding refugee camps and overwhelming aid organizations.

For much of Obama's first term, White House officials saw little reason for him to go to the region without a realistic chance for a peace accord between the Israelis and Palestinians. But with the president's one attempt at a U.S.-brokered deal thwarted in his first term and the two sides even more at odds, the White House has shifted thinking.

Beyond Mideast peace, Netanyahu and Obama have similar regional goals, including ending the violence in Syria and containing the political tumult in Egypt, which has a decades-old peace treaty with Israel.

Obama's visit to Israel may quiet critics in the U.S. who interpreted his failure to travel there in his first term as a sign that he was less supportive of the Jewish state than his predecessors. Republican lawmakers levied that criticism frequently during last year's presidential campaign, despite the fact that Republican President George W. Bush did not visit Israel until his final year in office.

In Obama’s talks with Jordan's King Abdullah, he also will try to shore up the country's fledgling attempts to liberalize its government and stave off an Arab Spring-style movement similar to the ones that have taken down leaders elsewhere in the region.

The president's final stop will be at Petra, Jordan's fabled ancient city.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.


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Thứ Hai, 11 tháng 3, 2013

February's jobs report only looks good because our expectations are so low

The new unemployment numbers released Friday look reasonable only because our expectations have are so low.

In February, the 236,000 new jobs added beat out the 166,000 increase in the working age population, but the labor force participation rate remains stuck at a level that is so low Americans haven't seen anything like it for decades. It simply isn't making a dent in the huge number of people who have simply given up looking for work. 

Even this last month didn't really help. The number of unemployed Americans fell by about 300,000, but 99 percent of that drop can be  explained by an increase in the number of people who are no longer in the labor force.

The dirty little secret about why we can be adding jobs to the labor force is because an unusually large number of people are staying in the jobs they already have.

Millions of people have simply given up looking for work.

And they have good reason to be discouraged. Job growth has only grown by an anemic 2.5 percent during this recovery. That’s compared to 9.2 percent during the average recovery since 1970 and 12 percent after severe recessions.

A deeper look at these numbers is even more depressing. 4.19 million people were hired in December. The average number of new hires during the recession was 4.4 million per month. During the same length of time prior to the recession, it was 5.3 million.

The dirty little secret about why we can be adding jobs to the labor force -- even as the number of monthly hires remains mired below a horrible hiring rate during the recession -- is because an unusually large number of people are staying in the jobs they already have.

A drop in total rate that people leave their jobs can be a good thing — if, for example, the cause is a decline in layoffs. But that’s not the case. Rather, there’s been a serious drop in the number of American workers choosing to quit their jobs — presumably because they fear not being able to get a new job.

800,000 fewer Americans are quitting their jobs each month than were before the recession began. That’s a whopping 200,000 a month fewer than quits during the height of the recession!

"Quits" aren’t supposed to be falling during a recovery. During a recession, sure: with poor prospects for landing a good new job quickly, people hesitate to voluntarily leave their employers.

But the opposite is supposed to happen in a recovery: people sense opportunity, and they chase it. (The rebound is especially strong after longer recessions, when people who’ve been putting off quitting their finally decide it’s safe to bite the bullet.) 

Yet now, according to the White House, we are officially experiencing “recovery.”  Americans have grown even more fearful, however, about quitting their jobs. 

Another measure of how hard it is to get a job is that over 40 percent of the unemployed have remained unemployed for more than six months. When the recession ended in June 2009, only 29 percent of the unemployed had been out of work for at least that long. 

If you want to compare our unemployment rate to Europe's, we don't look very good. The so-called “U6” unemployment rate for the U.S. is a better figure for comparing with the European rate. It includes those who are no longer actively looking for work but would take a job if it were offered as well as those who were looking for a full-time job but were forced to take a part-time position. The European numbers don't require people to be actively looking for work to be counted as unemployed.

The U6 rate has fallen from its peak of 17 percent in late 2009 and early 2010, but the February 2013 rate of 14.3 percent was hardly desirable. The last number for the EU 17 countries shows their November 2012 rate at a comparable 11.8 percent.

Americans need to raise their standards for what constitutes good economic news. And if this is what 44 months of "recovery" looks like, we are indeed in bad shape.

John R. Lott, Jr., writes frequently for FoxNews.com. An economist and former chief economist at the United States Sentencing Commission, he is also a leading expert on guns. He is the author of several books, including "More Guns, Less Crime." His latest book is "At the Brink: Will Obama Push Us Over the Edge? (Regnery Publishing 2013)." Follow him on Twitter@johnrlottjr.


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